CBS’ renew/cancel standings for week 25 of the 2016-17 season take a dim view of a second-year series.
Here are the standings, and here’s an explanation of the Bear’s methodology.
|Show||Status||18-49 rating||Renew/Cancel Index|
|Elementary (O)||? ?||0.67||-0.03|
|Code Black (O)||? ?||0.97||0.27|
|The Odd Couple (O)||? ?||1.01||0.31|
|Ransom (Sat.)||? ?||0.43||-0.09|
|Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders (O)||? ?||0.9||0.2|
|Life in Pieces||? ? ? ?||1.31||0.61|
|Criminal Minds (O)||? ? ? ?||1.41||0.71|
|Blue Bloods (F) (O)||? ? ? ?||1.19||1.00|
|Hawaii Five-0 (F) (O)||? ? ? ? ?||1.21||1.03|
|MacGyver (F) (O)||? ? ? ?||1.11||0.89|
|Mom||? ? ? ?||1.45||0.75|
|NCIS: Los Angeles (O)||? ? ? ?||1.39||0.69|
|2 Broke Girls||? ? ? ?||1.36||0.66|
|Man with a Plan (O)||? ? ? ?||1.33||0.63|
|Superior Donuts (O)||? ? ? ?||1.38||0.68|
|Bull (O)||? ? ? ?||1.51||0.81|
|The Great Indoors (O)||? ? ? ?||1.53||0.83|
|Kevin Can Wait (O)||? ? ? ?||1.76||1.06|
|The Big Bang Theory||? ? ? ? ?||3.27||2.57|
|Madam Secretary (O)||? ? ? ? ?||0.95||0.25|
|NCIS: New Orleans (O)||? ? ? ? ?||1.21||0.51|
|Scorpion (O)||? ? ? ? ?||1.22||0.52|
Note: Because of Nielsen delays, averages for Sunday shows are through March 5. March 12 ratings will be factored in next week.
It’s only been a week. But when that week includes a premiere at your lowest rating to date, that’s enough.
So, sorry, “Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders.” It’s likely not to return next season.
“Beyond Borders” was maybe less of a reach than some other marginal renewals last season – its ratings were below CBS’ average but in line with several other shows that returned. But it’s immediately below the 1.0 line among adults 18-49 and not very likely to get back above it.
CBS looks due for some housecleaning among its 10 p.m. dramas next season. “Beyond Borders” is likely to get swept away.
|DSW||Dead Show Walking: All but officially canceled yet still airing|
|?||sure bet to be canceled by May 2017|
|? ?||likely to be canceled by May 2017|
|? ? ?||tossup between renewal and cancellation by May 2017|
|? ? ? ?||likely to be renewed by May 2017|
|? ? ? ? ?||sure bet to be renewed by May 2017|
The Renew/Cancel Index is the amount above (or below) a replacement-level rating — i.e., the expected adults 18-49 rating of an emergency fill-in show should a series be canceled. For the 2016-17 season, replacement level is a 0.7 same-day rating in adults 18-49 for the Big 4 networks and a 0.2 for The CW. (Read more here.) The index number is taken by subtracting 0.7 (or 0.2) from a show’s average same-day rating.
Friday scripted shows (denoted with an “F” above) on the Big 4 have average ratings about 30 percent lower than those of other nights, therefore their ratings are multiplied by 1.43 (1/0.7, or 70 percent) before subtracting the replacement-level number. Any scripted show on Saturdays will use the same formula.
Shows that have ended their seasons have their R/C Index number frozen at the point of their final episode.
(O) – Owned: All other things equal, shows owned by studios affiliated with their networks have a better shot at renewal than those from outside producers.